Youth key to beating Boko Haram?

Editor’s note: ‘Funmi Olonisakin is the founding director of the African Leadership Centre, and director of the Conflict, Security and Development Group, at King’s College London.
(CNN) — President Goodluck Jonathan’s response to the Boko Haram insurgency, including his recently declared state of emergency in three northern Nigerian states, is eerily reminiscent of previous approaches to sectarian violence in that region.
The Maitatsine uprising of 1980 is perhaps the single most important precedent-setting example. In December 1980, the confrontation between the Al-Masifu Islamic sect — which advocated purity in the practice of Islam — and the people of Kano came to a head. The Nigerian army and air force mounted a campaign against the sect. In the end, more than 4,000 people were dead with double this number injured alongside massive destruction of property.
Times have certainly changed. Nigeria’s population has doubled since the Maitatsine uprising. Nigeria continues to experience the “youth bulge” — a growing youth population — that was not planned for. The resulting pressure on socio-economic systems is evident in limited education and health and dwindling economic opportunities for young people.

Poor policies and bad planning have produced youth vulnerability and exclusion from mainstream life. This is doubly so in northern Nigeria, where class divides have further created a community of people with nothing to lose.
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The global environment has also changed amid growing transnational threats. Al Qaeda continues to lurk in the neighborhood. Excluded groups in the region with affinity for Boko Haram are potential support networks amid an ever-rising flow of illicit weapons into the region.
One thing has hardly changed: elite behavior. Nigeria’s power elite remains far removed from the realities of life experienced by ordinary citizens.
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The ruling elite’s framing of the Boko Haram challenge lends itself easily to just one set of responses — the use of force to rout Boko Haram, although more recently the federal government of Nigeria proposed an amnesty for Boko Haram.
To be certain, a military approach is only part of the solution. It is by no means a panacea. This military campaign, coupled with amnesty, rings hollow. It does not offer much hope for dealing comprehensively with the underlying causes of the Boko Haram phenomenon.
It is no wonder Boko Haram has treated the offer of amnesty by the Jonathan-led government with disdain. For one, it may be worth holding out for a greater prize, knowing that it probably has this regime by the jugular. Besides, how could it trust that the offer of amnesty — which will unveil Boko Haram — is not a ploy by the regime to round them up and execute them? The allegedly extra-judicial killing of the sect’s late leader, Mohammed Yusuf, serves as a constant warning.
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Perhaps more importantly, this military solution and current state of emergency is potentially damaging for the military. The Nigerian military only recently managed to repair its image, winning accolades abroad for its peacekeeping role. Asking it to employ maximum force in internal operations — causing casualties in the process among the very people it is meant to protect — has repercussions. Surely, this will diminish its stature abroad and reduce citizens’ confidence in the military at home, while drawing more support to Boko Haram and weakening troops’ morale.
That said, it is also the case that Nigerians far removed from the locus of the crisis may not see the military’s role in such negative terms.
This crisis will potentially deepen religious and regional cleavages. Perhaps the country’s saving grace is that for the time being, Nigeria’s youth population mostly buys into these divides. They do not yet have a common narrative about who their “real enemy” is. Barring a small number of states, where genuine effort is being made to confront serious governance deficits, the picture of elite marginalization and widening inequality is consistent countrywide.
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Boko Haram commands the loyalty of the excluded at several levels. At this moment, Boko Haram is obviously asserting influence, and that assertion of influence is accepted by a significant number of people who see no change in their primary condition.
This factor partly attracted large crowds to the preaching of Boko Haram’s late leader, Yusuf. His narratives about the ills of Western education were enriched by evident gaps in governance. The breakdown of the education system, growing youth unemployment and insecurity amid rampant corruption swelled the ranks of Boko Haram. When the sense of “nothing to lose” is mixed with these strong narratives, the issue is not whether or not they are true but that there are no strong counter-narratives or genuine counter actions.
A lasting solution to the crisis in northern Nigeria might lie in a missing trinity: a meaningful but powerful narrative to counter Boko Haram’s narrative; an action plan akin to a “Marshal Plan” for northern Nigeria; and isolation of what Jonathan has described as Boko Haram sympathizers in the government and security forces.
Developing a powerful counter narrative will demand a measure of sincerity and consistency among the country’s ruling elite. Such a narrative must stand up to the seeming lure of Boko Haram and have the ability to hold a young population captive for the foreseeable future.
An action plan akin to a Marshal Plan for northern Nigeria must be developed to suit the context. The federal government’s investment in regeneration of northern Nigeria, with a focus on youth sensitization, education and development of social and economic entrepreneurship, will be key. This might entail deliberate forms of youth cantonment, census-based planning, community-based programs, and innovative education schemes to kick start regeneration.
To be sure, an action plan for northern Nigeria will not be sustainable in an environment where youth exclusion is a countrywide problem even if it is more chronic in the north. Expressed intention to do this nationally in due course might persuade a captive youth audience.
The question remains as to whether alleged Boko Haram sympathizers among the elite can be dislodged from this process. This might be the single most important obstacle in a situation where retaining political power in 2015 seems more valuable to the regime than the welfare of a few million disposable citizens.
In the immediate term, we can expect the Nigerian military to record successes against the Boko Haram sect. But the victory will be hollow. Without the trinity of measures earlier described, Jonathan’s government risks sacrificing the ordinary people of northern Nigeria, the military’s reputation, and innocent bloodshed.
The opinions expressed in this commentary are solely those of ‘Funmi Olonisakin.
Article source: http://edition.cnn.com/2013/05/24/opinion/nigeria-boko-haram-funmi-olonisakin/index.html?eref=edition

















Demonstrators shout slogans at Neptuno Square during a march made by thousands of people on Saturday, February 23 in Madrid.
Public workers, small political parties and nonprofit organizations protest against government austerity on February 23 in Madrid.
Spanish riot police stand in front of a fire at the end of a demonstration against government austerity measures in Madrid.
Demonstrators protest on February 23, in Madrid.
Spanish police in riot gear chase protesters.
Protesters face Spanish riot police at the end of the demonstration in Madrid.
Firemen extinguish a bin on fire during a riot after a march by thousands of people.
Spain’s financial crisis has resulted in an eviction epidemic in Madrid. Ecuadorian immigrant Rocio (second left) lost her jobs when the recession hit, and has only narrowly avoided being kicked out of her apartment.
People protest against the Spanish laws on house evictions outside the Spanish parliament on February 12 in Madrid, Spain.
People attend a demonstration called by the organization Platform for Mortgage Victims on February 16 in Madrid.
Court officials protest on February 20 in Madrid, during a strike called by judges, prosecutors and justice workers against the government’s spending cuts.
Judges, prosecutors and justice workers called the strike against the government’s spending cuts.
Platform for Mortgage Victims protests to push for a new law to end a wave of evictions of homeowners ruined by the economic crisis.
Demonstrators camp at a protest in Puerta del Sol Square after a demonstration against alleged corruption scandals implicating the PP (Popular Party) on February 3 in Madrid, Spain.
Protestors gather during a demonstration against alleged corruption scandals implicating the PP (Popular Party) on February 3 in Madrid, Spain.
Policemen arrest a Spanish Airline Iberia worker during a protest against job cuts at Barajas Airport on February 18 in Madrid, Spain.
Riot police pull at a worker protesting from Spanish Airline Iberia during a rally against job cuts at Barajas Airport.
A Spanish Airline Iberia staff member blows a whistle during a protest against job cuts at Barajas Airport.
Riot Police walk forward making a cordon during a protest of Spanish Airline Iberia staff.
Staff from Spanish Airline Iberia hold flags and gather in protest against job cuts.
Protesters hold placards as they take part in a demonstration against plans to cut medical spending and privatize hospital services in Madrid on February 17.
Protesters take part in a demonstration against plans to cut medical spending and privatize hospital services in Madrid of February 17. 




















Eurozone crisis sparked protests throughout the continent. Pictured here, demonstrators fight with riot policemen during a protest against austerity on November 14, 2012 in Rome.
Students hold placards with titles of classic books during a protest on a day of mobilization against austerity measures by workers in southern Europe on November 14, 2012 in Rome.
A demonstrator sits next to a barricade of burning tires on November 13, 2012 in Barcelona, Spain.
Protesters sit down in front of a line of police.
Riot police officers face protesters during a demonstration outside the Portuguese Parliament in Lisbon on November 14, 2012 during a general strike.
Riot policemen arrest a protester in Valencia on November 14, 2012 during a general strike.
Riot policemen stand in line during a protest against austerity measures by workers in Europe on November 14, 2012 in Rome.
Greece has seen some of the most violent protests in years.
Communist-affiliated protesters gather in central Athens prior their protest march marking the 24-hour general strike on October 18, 2012.
Protesters attend a demonstration organized by Spain’s “indignant” protesters, a popular movement against a political system that they say deprives ordinary Spaniards of a voice in the crisis, near the parliament building in Madrid during a general strike.
Supporters of the Greek Communist Party waves party flags and chant slogans, during a rally calling for Greece’s exit from the Eurozone, on May 14, 2012.












Spanish riot police stand in front of a fire at the end of a demonstration against government austerity measures in Madrid.
Demonstrators protest on February 23, in Madrid.
Spanish police in riot gear chase protesters.
People protest against the Spanish laws on house evictions outside the Spanish parliament on February 12 in Madrid, Spain.
People attend a demonstration called by the organization Platform for Mortgage Victims on February 16 in Madrid.
Court officials protest on February 20 in Madrid, during a strike called by judges, prosecutors and justice workers against the government’s spending cuts.
Protestors gather during a demonstration against alleged corruption scandals implicating the PP (Popular Party) on February 3 in Madrid, Spain.
Policemen arrest a Spanish Airline Iberia worker during a protest against job cuts at Barajas Airport on February 18 in Madrid, Spain.
Staff from Spanish Airline Iberia hold flags and gather in protest against job cuts.







